Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008651 0.009721 0.010896 0.012283 0.013883 0.015676 0.017846
2025-04-27 0.007145 0.008627 0.010397 0.012684 0.015586 0.019178 0.024015
2025-05-04 0.006174 0.007807 0.009869 0.012695 0.016523 0.021603 0.028986
2025-05-11 0.005525 0.007249 0.009524 0.012798 0.017478 0.024066 0.034294
2025-05-18 0.004953 0.006697 0.009085 0.012664 0.018020 0.025952 0.039004
2025-05-25 0.004566 0.006344 0.008860 0.012774 0.018886 0.028376 0.044884
2025-06-01 0.004184 0.005951 0.008524 0.012659 0.019361 0.030223 0.050093
2025-06-08 0.003781 0.005484 0.008025 0.012223 0.019251 0.031071 0.053678
2025-06-15 0.003546 0.005247 0.007847 0.012267 0.019919 0.033297 0.060120
2025-06-22 0.003429 0.005178 0.007921 0.012722 0.021332 0.037017 0.070102
2025-06-29 0.003183 0.004884 0.007604 0.012478 0.021464 0.038382 0.075574
2025-07-06 0.002959 0.004607 0.007291 0.012203 0.021500 0.039557 0.080843
2025-07-13 0.002782 0.004403 0.007099 0.012155 0.022014 0.041865 0.089401
2025-07-20 0.002693 0.004341 0.007147 0.012556 0.023473 0.046388 0.104315
2025-07-27 0.002551 0.004177 0.006998 0.012567 0.024138 0.049317 0.116056
2025-08-03 0.002436 0.004049 0.006903 0.012669 0.025002 0.052829 0.130250
2025-08-10 0.002300 0.003873 0.006702 0.012536 0.025338 0.055166 0.141849
2025-08-17 0.002207 0.003768 0.006625 0.012645 0.026223 0.058978 0.158827
2025-08-24 0.002094 0.003618 0.006450 0.012531 0.026580 0.061533 0.172753
2025-08-31 0.001954 0.003407 0.006141 0.012100 0.026136 0.061939 0.179926
2025-09-07 0.001877 0.003313 0.006054 0.012144 0.026843 0.065552 0.199032
2025-09-14 0.001849 0.003309 0.006147 0.012594 0.028620 0.072478 0.232361
2025-09-21 0.001753 0.003165 0.005944 0.012352 0.028599 0.074242 0.247118